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In risk assessment, what does "likelihood" refer to?

The potential financial loss from a threat

The probability of a threat exploiting a vulnerability

In risk assessment, "likelihood" specifically refers to the probability of a threat successfully exploiting a vulnerability. This concept is central to understanding risk because it assesses how probable it is that a given threat will actually occur and take advantage of a weakness within an organization’s security framework.

Recognizing the likelihood helps organizations prioritize risks based on potential threat scenarios. By determining how likely an event is to happen, decision-makers can allocate resources more effectively to mitigate risks and enhance security protocols.

The other concepts mentioned, such as potential financial loss, severity of consequences, and preparedness, are important in risk management as well, but they pertain to different aspects. Potential financial loss relates to the impact of a threat, the severity of consequences refers to the extent of damage caused if a threat occurs, and preparedness measures an organization's readiness to handle threats. Understanding the likelihood is fundamental for establishing a comprehensive risk management strategy.

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The severity of the consequences of a threat

The level of preparedness of the organization

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